Friday, July 07, 2006

Implications for Canada

Me encotre esta nota en la pagina de la CBC sobre las elecciones en Mexico.

Esta es la parte que mas me intereso:
"Implications for Canada

The election is being watched very closely in the U.S., where illegal migration is a hot-button issue north of the Rio Grande and where Washington is building a huge wall along its southern border.

If the recount produces a different result and Lopez Obrador wins, he will be the fourth high-profile leftist leader in Latin America, along with Bolivia's Evo Morales, Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Venezuela's Hugo Chavez who is by far the most polarizing of the group.

Lopez Obrador is no socialist ideologue like Chavez and he does not seem to be particularly anti-American, observers say. Indeed he has aimed most of his anger at Mexico's own wealthy elite, saying it is the group who will have to sacrifice if the country intends to develop and keep more jobs at home.

But he has also been quoted saying he is counting on loans from the U.S. and Canada to help with his grand projects and so keep illegal migrants from going abroad.

None of the presidential candidates wants to forcibly stop or criminalize illegal migration, according to most reports. But Lopez Obrador does want to halt the next stage of NAFTA reforms and says it is time to thoroughly review and perhaps renegotiate the treaty.

The concern there is that NAFTA is hurting Mexico's small farmers. But any formal attempt to renegotiate NAFTA would likely open a can of worms in Canada, where the deal has never enjoyed overwhelming popularity, and would also put in jeopardy a host of pending side deals on host of (mostly agricultural) products.

In recent years, Mexico has become Canada's fifth largest trading partner, most of that in agriculture and automobile parts, which are often manufactured for just-in-time delivery. "

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